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Crude oil futures traders can match their trading
strategy with their risk tolerance.
Comstock
Images/Comstock/Getty Images
Crude oil futures are known for their high volatility and wide price
swings. It’s not unusual for crude oil futures to trade down in the morning but
close at a new high when the trading day ends. Traders use several popular
strategies that take advantage of crude oil’s unpredictable nature. By
analyzing the crude oil futures market, traders select the tactics they believe
will result in a profit before the crude oil futures contract expires.
Buy and Hold Trading
Strategy
Buy and hold is probably the best known and most widely used trading
strategy. Traders analyze fundamentals such as supply and demand and the
geopolitical climate, and buy a crude oil futures contract in anticipation of a
price increase or sell a crude oil futures contract if expecting the price to
fall. The price must make a big enough move to give the trader a profit before
the futures contract expires. If the trader’s prediction about the market
direction or price behavior is wrong, the trade ends in a loss.
Technical Analysis
Trading Strategy
Crude oil traders formulate their investment decisions by applying
technical indicators to crude oil price charts over different time periods.
Candlesticks, bar charts and volume indicators help traders predict crude oil’s
next price move. By using the same technical indicators on a two-minute chart,
five-minute chart, one-hour chart and a day chart, traders decide whether to
buy or sell a crude oil future. Technical traders often hold their positions
open a week or longer to give the trade time to develop.
Swing Trading Strategy
Swing trading involves buying a security and holding it for a short time
period that ranges from a few minutes up to four days. Crude oil swing traders
rely on short-term changes in supply and demand and technical analysis to
determine the market’s trend. Swing traders buy a futures contract if the
market is trending up and sell if the market trends down. Crude oil futures
swing traders benefit from crude oil’s volatility and will close out a trade
when it makes a small profit. Swing trading is very risky, and traders can lose
money quickly if the market unexpectedly moves against them.
Spread Trading
Strategy
Spread trading involves buying one crude oil futures contract in one month
and selling another crude oil futures contract in a farther out month. The goal
is to profit from the expected change between the purchase and selling price of
both contracts. For example, a trader could sell the March crude oil futures
contact trading at $94.50 and buy the June contract for $95.80, for a
difference of $1.30. If the trade widens more than the $1.30, the trader has a
profit. The trader would buy a March contract and sell a June contract to close
out the trade. But if the spread contracts, the trader will realize a loss.
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